The XRP price is gearing up for another bullish move upward, as a crypto analyst has predicted a 20% surge in the near future. This optimistic forecast is backed by the formation of a key technical pattern called the Golden Pocket and indicators including strong support levels and a critical resistance zone.  

Golden Pocket Signals XRP Price Surge

According to TradingView analyst TehThomas, the XRP price is currently trading within a well-defined Ascending Channel, setting the stage for a potential 20% move upwards. In the 4-hour time frame, XRP has continued to respect this Ascending Channel, forming higher highs and higher lows — a key indicator of a sustained uptrend.

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Interestingly, the most notable development in XRP’s price action is the appearance of a Golden Pocket on its chart. A Golden Pocket is a key Fibonacci retracement area that is often used to identify potential support and resistance levels. It represents a complete trend reversal for a cryptocurrency and a possibility of an aggressive uptrend.

The TradingView analyst has revealed that XRP’s current Golden Pocket aligns with an imbalance zone, an area of unfilled liquidity where prices typically revisit before resuming movement. 

In the chart, XRP’s Golden Pocket sits between the 0.618 – 0.65 Fibonacci retracement level — a well-known area where the price usually finds strong support before continuing the trend. Historically, XRP has reacted twice from this key level, indicating that buyers have been actively defending this area. 

TehThomas has predicted that as long as the XRP price can hold above the key Fibonacci retracement level, which also acts as a critical resistance, the cryptocurrency’s bullish structure will remain unchanged. Additionally, XRP could be primed for a massive rally toward the 0.618 Fibonacci extension level, which corresponds with the upper boundary of the Ascending Channel. 

If this bullish momentum continues, it means that the analyst expects the XRP price to see a rally to a target between the $2.8 to – $2.9 range. This represents a 29% price increase from XRP’s current price of $2.2. 

Short-Term Resistance Could Trigger Decline

TehThomas’s bullish outlook for the XRP price, the TradingView analyst noted that the 1-hour time frame presents short-term resistance, which could lead to a significant pullback before the next leg up. XRP recently faced a rejection at the imbalance zone, indicating that sellers are increasing activity at this level. 

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Previously, when the price struggled to break the imbalance zone, it highlighted a lack of liquidity to sustain a continued uptrend. A repeat of this could result in a retracement toward the Golden Pocket in the 4-hour timeframe. 

Notably, a confirmed breakout from the 1-hour imbalance timeframe could reinforce XRP’s bullish momentum, supporting its projected move toward upper levels of the Ascending Channel. However, a failure could shift this bullish structure, leading to a deeper correction toward lower support levels.

Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com

Dogecoin (DOGE) may be back in the top-ten cryptocurrency by market capitalization, but its loses in both United States dollar and Bitcoin (BTC) terms since Elon Musk’s Saturday Night Live (SNL) appearance are considerable.

Dogecoin loses Musk-effect

The DOGE/BTC trading pair has fallen 75% after peaking out at 1,287 satoshis on May 9, 2021, a day after Musk was a guest host on SNL, including a sketch titled The Dogefather.

Before his appearance, the billionaire entrepreneur was relentlessly tweeting Dogecoin memes and images, which helped DOGE — a cryptocurrency that started out as a joke — to attain a market capitalization north of $90 billion in May 2021.

That’s more than 36,000% gains in just two years. But, things have gone downhill ever since. 

Investors reflected hopes that even an optimistic wink from Musk on SNL toward DOGE would prompt his 106 million followers to buy the memecoin. But, Musk did an unforeseeable thing: he called Dogecoin a “hustle.”

One day later, DOGE’s price began its decline from its all-time high. It continues its downtrend to this day, changing hands for about 300 satoshis versus its peak value of 1,287 satoshis.

Simultaneously, the price of Dogecoin has crashed by more than 90% against the U.S. dollar after peaking at $0.76 in May 2021.

Elon Musk’s efforts to keep Dogecoin relevant

Musk has made multiple efforts to revive people’s interest in Dogecoin ever since.

In May 2021, he revealed he had been working with Dogecoin developers to improve its blockchain’s transaction efficiency since 2019. Additionally, Musk’s Tesla and SpaceX also started accepting DOGE payments for their merchandise, prompting a sharp but short-lived price rally.

Moreover, Musk stated during a market crash in March 2022 that he would not sell his crypto holdings, including DOGE and Bitcoin. Nonetheless, Tesla sold 75% of its Bitcoin holdings three months after Musk’s declaration.

As a general principle, for those looking for advice from this thread, it is generally better to own physical things like a home or stock in companies you think make good products, than dollars when inflation is high.

I still own & won’t sell my Bitcoin, Ethereum or Doge fwiw.

— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) March 14, 2022

The prospect of adding a DOGE payment option to Twitter also collapsed after Musk backed away from buying the social media giant.

In September 2022, Tesla launched Cyberwhistle, a limited-edition collectible inspired by its Cybertruck vehicle, which users can purchase only via DOGE.

Will Dogecoin rebound, then?

Traders have started ignoring Musk’s celebrated association with Dogecoin, given their half-hearted reactions to his DOGE-related updates lately.

Instead, it appears that traders have been more focused on macro catalysts lately, primarily the Federal Reserve’s back-to-back interest rate hikes that have put downward pressure on cryptocurrencies, stocks and similar risk-on assets in 2022 and beyond. 

Related: Dogecoin becomes second largest PoW cryptocurrency

The technical setups also suggest the same. For instance, on the weekly chart, DOGE/BTC now tests 307 satoshis as its interim support, given the level’s history as a strong price floor since November 2021.

A decisive break below 307 satoshis would have DOGE/BTC test its 200-week exponential moving average (200-week EMA; the blue wave) near 244 satoshis as its downside target in 2022 — a 20% decline.

A 40% decline against the dollar

DOGE price has been trending inside a broad descending channel against the U.S. dollar since it topped in May 2021, now eyeing its lower trendline as the next downside target.

The target appears to be in the range defined by $0.048 and $0.036, given these levels’ history as support. Therefore, DOGE could drop by roughly 40% against the dollar in Q4 2022.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.