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Key takeaways
- ADA is down 3% and is now trading around $0.2512 per coin.
- The bearish performance could see ADA slip below the $0.2400 support level.
Cardano (ADA) faces renewed selling pressure as bullish interest fades
Cardano (ADA) continues to face significant selling pressure, with the cryptocurrency extending its 4% loss from Wednesday, falling to the $0.2500 at the time of writing on Thursday.
The decline has been driven by intense long liquidations in ADA futures over the last 24 hours, signaling a diminishing bullish sentiment among traders. For a potential recovery, Cardano must reclaim the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2672.
The broader market sentiment remains mixed, as the US-Iran ceasefire risks being undermined by Israel’s ongoing missile strikes on Lebanon. While Cardano futures initially saw some bullish interest following Tuesday’s ceasefire announcement, this has since diminished.
Data from CoinGlass reveals that liquidated ADA derivatives positions over the past 24 hours totaled $602,370, with $544,540 coming from long liquidations, indicating a significant wipeout of bullish positions. This liquidation pressure has contributed to an 6% drop in ADA futures Open Interest (OI), which now stands at $412.36 million.
Furthermore, the OI-weighted funding rate dropped to -0.0045% on Thursday, indicating that traders are increasingly shifting towards short positions.
ADA could dip below the $0.2400 support level
The ADA/USD 4-hour chart remains bearish and efficient following the recent day. ADA is currently trading below the 50-, 100-, and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).
Momentum indicators only hint at tentative stabilization rather than a clear bullish shift. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a marginally positive reading, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 53 hovers just above the neutral midline level.
If the selloff continues, ADA could slip towards the March 29 low at $0.2328, with the February 6 low at $0.2205 providing further support.
On the flip side, if the bulls regain control, they would encounter initial resistance at the 50-day EMA around $0.2673. A daily close above this barrier would ease the immediate bearish tone and open the way toward the $0.2991 resistance level.
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In the last week, Bitcoin prices fell to around $65,000, resulting in a net loss of 6.74%. This recent decline underlines the asset’s struggles in March, which, despite periods of attempted price breakout, has witnessed an equal or greater pullback, producing a current net monthly loss of 4.4%. Amid this price instability, the Analytics page Easy On Chain has shared an interesting trend on smart money accumulation in the Bitcoin market.
Bullish Market Divergence Dominates Bitcoin Activity
In the QuickTake post on March 27, Easy On Chain analysts show that Bitcoin price drops in the third month of 2026 have been accompanied by a contrasting reaction from the smart money investors, such as institutional players or ultra-high net worth whales. Notably, the month commenced with a TradFi-led surge, as big money aggressively bought exposure to Bitcoin, causing the Fund Market Premium to reach 2.72 as of March 11. However, this sturdy demand was followed by a strategic market exit, as Bitcoin attained a local monthly peak at $76,007 on March 17.
This temporary fall in demand was reflected in the Exchange Whale Ratio, a key selling indicator, hitting a high value of 0.835, while the Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR), which compares Bitcoin market cap to stablecoin supply, also touched 10.95, indicating an exhausted buying power. Since then, Bitcoin has recorded a steady correction to $65,000, during which the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) for short-term holders (STH) turned negative, forcing these investors into panic.
However, signs of market re-accumulation by long-term holders began on March 22. While the Coins Days Destroyed (CDD) recorded a high value of 27.1 million, which showed movement of 2-7 year old coins, there was no significant change in the exchange inflows CDD level at 48,909. Meanwhile, $2.27 billion in ERC-20 USDT was moved from exchanges, indicating that whales and institutions acquired Bitcoin on the OTC market, bypassing exchange public order books.
Related Reading: What Every XRP Holder Must Understand As Activity Wanes
Miners Participate In Accumulation Shift
According to Easy On Chain, recent activity by Bitcoin miners also supports the underlying accumulation trends. Notably, selling activity has declined, with their total holdings now valued at 1,805,235 on March 27. With a profit margin of 71.4% on present market prices, these participants are also discouraged from any forced selling.
At press time, Bitcoin trades at $66,003, reflecting a 4.23% loss in the past day. Easy On Chain analysts state the critical “life line” now lies at $63,200, i.e., the realized price for 1.5 to 2-year holders. For a bullish reversal to occur, there is a need for a revival in US spot demand marked by the Coinbase and Fund Premiums turning positive.
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