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After rising to a new 7-year high off the back of strong buys, the XRP price has moved back downward in search of new support levels. This move has been spurred by the general bearish sentiment that has plagued the market as the Bitcoin price struggled to reclaim its all-time high levels, putting altcoins at risk once again. On its own, the XRP price is facing unique barriers, especially when it comes to buying, which could trigger another wave of decline.
Directions The XRP Price Could Go
Crypto analyst Thecafetrader has highlighted the possible directions that the XRP price could go in following its decline. These include both bullish and bearish directions, both being decided by buyers and how much weight they put behind their positions during this time.
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The first point that the analyst makes is the fact that the XRP price rally was driven by massive buyers. These buys had triggered a breakout above the 2024 highs, but met resistance from sellers once again. Thus, it suggests that bulls have been trapped at higher prices inside their positions. However, this is not the most concerning development.
One thing that the analyst points out is the major decline in trading volume despite XRP hitting new highs this year. For example, back in 2024, when the XRP price had first crossed the $3 mark, the daily trading volume had peaked above $78 billion. But with the new highs above $3.6, the highest daily trading volume recorded was just above $41 billion. Given this, it suggests that there is a major decline in buying interest, especially as conviction has been impacted by the price decline.
Interestingly, though, the buyers are not the only ones who seem to be abstaining from the XRP altcoin at this point. According to the analyst, there are no “real” sellers that are moving into the market. Therefore, there is still bullish momentum for a possible recovery back to $4.64.
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Moving to the more bearish side, the analyst explains that the XRP price does need the strong buyers to step in to continue an uptrend. If these buyers fail to hold up, then the XRP price does risk crashing back downward from the initial $2.95 point of interest.
The targets for such a decline are placed by the crypto analyst at $3.13 initially. However, the more the price struggles, the lower the targets go. Next is the $2.95 territory, then $2.15-$2.3, which the analyst calls a “good price” for entry. Then last but not least is the $1.60-$1.93 range, marked as a “steal.”
Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
PEPE bullish momentum has taken a hit, with the price retreating to a crucial support level at $0.00001748. This setback puts the bulls under pressure to hold the line as bearish forces regain strength.
After an initial rally showed promise, the inability to sustain upward movement signals a critical moment for the meme coin’s price trajectory. PEPE now faces a decisive retest, with the $0.00001748 level emerging as a key point of contention between buyers and sellers.
If the bulls manage to defend this support, it could act as a springboard for a rebound, setting the stage for a renewed attempt to break through higher resistance levels. However, failure to hold above this threshold may result in heightened bearish activity, pushing PEPE further downward and signaling a deeper correction.
PEPE Retreat To $0.00001748: What’s Driving The Pullback?
The inability of PEPE’s bulls to maintain upward momentum has been a primary factor in the price retreat. Buying pressure has dwindled after reaching resistance levels that tested market confidence, allowing bears to regain control. Its failure to generate sufficient volume to break through higher resistance zones suggests that the rally lacked the strength for sustained upward movement.
Key technical indicators, such as the Composite Trend Oscillator, have been signaling potential drop conditions in recent trading sessions. As a result, PEPE’s price correction was anticipated as the market sought to restore balance. The indicator’s move toward the neutral levels reflects this shift, while the 100-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) show bearish crossovers that reinforce the current downtrend.
PEPE’s retracement must also be viewed in the context of the broader cryptocurrency market. Recent volatility in major assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum has created an uncertain environment, causing smaller tokens like PEPE to experience amplified price swings. Bearish sentiment across the market has likely weighed on PEPE, compounding its struggles to maintain higher levels.
Key Support Analysis: Can $0.00001748 Hold?
The $0.00001748 level has emerged as a critical support zone for PEPE as bearish pressure intensifies. This level has historically provided a strong floor, preventing deeper declines during previous downtrends. Its ability to hold hinges on several factors, including market sentiment, volume dynamics, and broader cryptocurrency market conditions.
If the $0.00001748 support holds firm, it could ignite renewed buying strength, providing bulls the capacity to regain control and drive the price higher toward its previous peak of $0.00002721. A decisive breakout above this resistance might pave the way for the formation of new highs, signaling a shift in market sentiment and stronger upward momentum.
However, a clear break below $0.00001748 may indicate more downside risk, potentially driving PEPE toward the next critical support at $0.00001313. Once this level is breached, the price could continue to decline, testing additional support zones.
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XRP price declined heavily from the $0.5250 resistance zone. It tested the $0.4540 support zone and is now attempting to recover above $0.4880.
- XRP is correcting losses above the $0.4820 and $0.4840 levels.
- The price is now trading below $0.5050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $0.4950 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
- The pair could dip again if it stays below the $0.5050 resistance zone.
XRP Price Takes Hit
XRP price started a major decline like Ethereum and declined below the $0.50 support. The price even spiked below the $0.4650 support zone. A low was formed at $0.4533 and the price is now correcting losses.
There was a move above the $0.470 and $0.4750 resistance levels. The price climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.5271 swing high to the $0.4533 low. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $0.4950 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair.
The pair is slowly moving above the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.5271 swing high to the $0.4533 low. However, it is still trading below $0.5050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $0.500 level. The first key resistance is near $0.5050. The next major resistance is near the $0.5120 level. A close above the $0.5120 resistance zone could send the price higher. The next key resistance is near $0.5250.
If there is a close above the $0.5250 resistance level, there could be a steady increase toward the $0.5320 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $0.550 resistance.
Another Drop?
If XRP fails to clear the $0.5050 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $0.4950 level and the trend line.
The next major support is at $0.4900. If there is a downside break and a close below the $0.490 level, the price might accelerate lower. In the stated case, the price could decline and retest the $0.4740 support in the near term.
Technical Indicators
Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bearish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $0.4950 and $0.4900.
Major Resistance Levels – $0.500 and $0.5050.
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