updraftplus domain was triggered too early. This is usually an indicator for some code in the plugin or theme running too early. Translations should be loaded at the init action or later. Please see Debugging in WordPress for more information. (This message was added in version 6.7.0.) in /home/aonyeani76/cryptocurrencypanther/wp-includes/functions.php on line 6131hustle domain was triggered too early. This is usually an indicator for some code in the plugin or theme running too early. Translations should be loaded at the init action or later. Please see Debugging in WordPress for more information. (This message was added in version 6.7.0.) in /home/aonyeani76/cryptocurrencypanther/wp-includes/functions.php on line 6131wpforms-lite domain was triggered too early. This is usually an indicator for some code in the plugin or theme running too early. Translations should be loaded at the init action or later. Please see Debugging in WordPress for more information. (This message was added in version 6.7.0.) in /home/aonyeani76/cryptocurrencypanther/wp-includes/functions.php on line 6131The ongoing government shutdown outlook has jumped significantly on Kalshi. Bitcoin’s correlation with the Nasdaq has tightened as ETF data shows that long-term investors didn’t panic during the selloff. Shutdown Forecast Surges As Market Confidence Weakens The US government shutdown is now expected to last far longer than earlier estimates, according to updated forecasts from
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]]>Global tech giant Google has moved to integrate prediction market data from Polymarket and Kalshi directly into search results, marking a new step in the company’s AI-driven finance strategy.
Google’s November 5 press release revealed that the new AI-powered Google Finance will enable users to ask questions about future market events. The rollout begins with Labs users over the coming weeks before expanding globally.
The platform will now deliver real-time market probabilities and historical changes sourced from Polymarket and Kalshi, when users type in questions such as “What will GDP growth be for 2025?”
This feature is part of a revamp to Google Finance, which now includes Deep Search capabilities, AI-enhanced technical analysis tools, and corporate earnings tracking.
By integrating prediction markets data, Google aims to make financial insights more interactive, blending crowd-sourced probabilities with institutional-grade analytics.
The move could expose prediction markets to a wider global audience. Google handles over 8.5 billion search requests per day, according to December 2024 reports.
Since markets on the US presidential elections boosted its prominence in 2024, prediction markets have continued to gain popularity among crypto market enthusiasts and speculative traders.
Data from The Block shows that in October, Polymarket recorded an all-time high of 477,850 active users and 38,270 new markets created. The surge coincided with intense speculation on Bitcoin
BTC
$101 075
24h volatility:
2.3%
Market cap:
$2.02 T
Vol. 24h:
$63.14 B
and gold, both of which reached all-time highs above $124,500 and $4,200, respectively, during the month.
Polymarkets records all time high 477,850 active users in October 2025 | Source: TheBlock
Traders also wagered heavily on altcoin ETF approvals, which officially went live on October 28. The amplified engagement across decentralized prediction markets attracted significant institutional interest during the month.
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, invested in Polymarket, valuing it at around $9 billion. Its main rival, Kalshi, also raised $300 million at a $5 billion valuation, emphasizing investor appetite for regulated prediction markets.
Google’s partnership announcement comes as Polymarkets prepared to launch formal operations in the United States. In September, the platform acquired QCEX, a CFTC-licensed derivatives exchange and clearinghouse, in a strategic $112 million deal that ensures compliance with US regulatory frameworks.
As the crypto market consolidates under bearish pressure this week, investors are switching focus to early stage projects like Bitcoin Hyper.
Bitcoin Hyper (HYPER) promises lightning-fast and low-cost transactions aimed at expanding Bitcoin’s use-cases for payments, meme coins, and dApps.
Bitcoin Hyper Presale
HYPER has raised over $26.1 million, with its presale price set at $0.013235 per token. Prospective investors can visit Bitcoin Hyper’s official presale website to secure early allocations before the next price tier unlocks.
Disclaimer: Coinspeaker is committed to providing unbiased and transparent reporting. This article aims to deliver accurate and timely information but should not be taken as financial or investment advice. Since market conditions can change rapidly, we encourage you to verify information on your own and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content.
Ibrahim Ajibade is a seasoned research analyst with a background in supporting various Web3 startups and financial organizations. He earned his undergraduate degree in Economics and is currently studying for a Master’s in Blockchain and Distributed Ledger Technologies at the University of Malta.
Bitcoin (BTC) price consolidated near $115,000 on Saturday, Sept. 20, erasing losses from Fed-induced turbulence during the past week. BlackRock’s IBIT ETF absorbed $246 million on Friday, the only US-listed ETF to record positive flows.
Blackrock’s Bitcoin ETF recorded $3.1 billion in inflows in the last 10 days | Source: FarsideUK
FarsideUK data shows that, excluding Thursday’s stalemate, BlackRock’s IBIT ETF has now avoided negative flows since September 5, accumulating $3.1 billion over the last 10 days of trading. BlackRock’s positive outlook on BTC also reverberates across crypto prediction markets.
Kalshi bettors predict a 69% chance of Bitcoin price reaching $125,000 in 2025. | Source: Kalshi.com
Real-time data from Kalshi shows 69% of bettors expect BTC to hit $125,000 by November 2025, a one percent increase in the past 24 hours, with over $11.9 million wagered.
During market consolidation, strategic new entrants often look to prediction markets for clues on the next directional price move. This uptick in BTC all-time high bets on Kalshi could encourage fresh capital inflows as the turbulence from the US Fed’s recent monetary policy tweaks subside.
Despite increased volatility after the Fed rate cut on Wednesday, Bitcoin maintains critical resilience signals. The daily chart shows BTC trading above a Golden cross at $114,395, where the 7-day moving average has cleared the 50-day moving average.
The current MACD readings are also positive. The MACD line at 915 remains above the signal line at 492, while the histogram bars remain in positive territory.
Bitcoin (BTC) Technical Price Analysis For September 20, 2025 | Source: TradingView
With the Golden cross still in play, bears still need a decisive close below $114,000 to establish dominance.
On the upside, immediate resistance lies at the 7-day SMA near $116,000, followed by the key psychological target of $120,000. A confirmed break above $120,000, backed by ETF inflows, could propel BTC directly toward $125,000, aligning with Kalshi bettors’ expectations.
In summary, ETF demand combined with the active golden cross on the BTCUSD 24-hour chart strengthens the probability of BTC price extending gains toward a new all-time high in the coming weeks.
Bitcoin’s ETF-driven resilience over the past week has also fueled optimism around early-stage projects like Best Wallet (BEST). Beyond multi-chain crypto storage, Best Wallet offers institutional-grade security that appeals to investors seeking diversification beyond large-cap coins.
Best Wallet Presale
As Bitcoin consolidates above $115K and ETF flows sustain bullish sentiment, projects like Best Wallet capture spillover demand from traders seeking higher upside opportunities in emerging markets.
Disclaimer: Coinspeaker is committed to providing unbiased and transparent reporting. This article aims to deliver accurate and timely information but should not be taken as financial or investment advice. Since market conditions can change rapidly, we encourage you to verify information on your own and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content.
Ibrahim Ajibade is a seasoned research analyst with a background in supporting various Web3 startups and financial organizations. He earned his undergraduate degree in Economics and is currently studying for a Master’s in Blockchain and Distributed Ledger Technologies at the University of Malta.
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Following President Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariff announcement on April 2, recession probabilities have spiked across leading economic trackers, putting Bitcoin on high alert. Kalshi’s prediction markets now stand at 53%, an 8.1% jump from prior estimates, and Polymarket’s odds have surged to 54%.
After President Trump’s latest move to impose higher duties—“Liberation Day” tariffs targeting key US trading partners, including a 34% levy on imports from China and 20% on those from the European Union—multiple forecasters revised their recession probabilities upward.
The odds have been updated across several respected institutions and platforms: Besides Kalshi and Polymarket, Larry Summers has indicated a 50% likelihood, whereas JPMorgan puts the chance at 40%. According to a CNBC Fed Survey, the odds are 36%, with both Moody’s Analytics and Pimco forecasting a 35% chance. Notably, Goldman Sachs has significantly revised its stance, now estimating the probability at 35%, up from a previous 20%.
JPMorgan warns that these tariffs could result in “a $660 billion annual tax increase on Americans,” potentially adding 2% to domestic inflation. The risk of a knock-on effect is underscored by shifting consumer confidence data and the looming prospect of retaliatory trade measures from partners such as Canada and the EU.
Goldman Sachs, in its March 30 research note, offered a sobering outlook for 2025. According to the team: “We now see a 12-month recession probability of 35%. The upgrade from our previous 20% estimate reflects our lower growth baseline, the sharp recent deterioration in household and business confidence, and statements from White House officials indicating greater willingness to tolerate near-term economic weakness in pursuit of their policies.”
Renowned crypto trader Bob Loukas captured market sentiment on X, writing: “I’m starting to think we’re heading into a recession or bear market, maybe a milder one, but it’s looking likely. […] We should take it seriously. That said, I think it’s time to move away from the ‘buy the dip’ habit we’ve leaned on during the bull market. […] It might not end up being a disaster, but focusing too much on potential gains could mean overlooking real risks. […] Bonds seem like a good bet, capital has to flow somewhere.”
With respect to Bitcoin, Loukas underlines the difficult situation for investor with respect to Trump’s pro-BTC policy: Bitcoin’s tricky, instinct says it struggles, but I can see it holding up as a kind of digital gold, especially since the administration seems to want it to succeed, outside of trade policy stuff. Maybe there is some bias in that last statement.”
Aksel Kibar (@TechCharts), a Chartered Market Technician and ex-fund manager, briefly affirmed Loukas’s stance by commenting, “Agreed.”
Meanwhile, LondonCryptoClub (@LDNCryptoClub) spotlighted new guidance from UBS global wealth management, which now expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 75–100 bps through the remainder of 2025.
The analyst writes via X: “This is kind of the key for Bitcoin. If the Fed treats tariff induced inflation as ‘transitory’ [… ] and focuses on supporting growth, then real rates are coming way lower […] and Bitcoin will fly. Financial conditions are currently easing with lower dollar and yields (although keep an eye on credit spreads). […] Bitcoin front runs liquidity […] Ultimately, this all ends with the Fed being forced to be the liquidity providers of last resort […] Bitcoin will end this year significantly higher. Just the path is going to be a very volatile and choppy one.”
Macro analyst Alex Krüger (@krugermacro) cautioned about the interplay between monetary easing and recession risk: “Fed cuts without recession are usually bullish. Fed cuts with recession are usually bearish. This was a major talking point in 2024.”
In light of President Trump’s unexpected tariffs, Friday’s scheduled remarks by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell have taken on renewed urgency. Powell had previously indicated that monetary policy remains restrictive, given inflation’s persistence above the Fed’s 2% target. Yet tariffs introduce a potential double bind: higher costs for consumers that could drive inflation further, alongside a drag on economic growth that complicates the labor market outlook.
Andy Brenner of NatAlliance Securities described the speech as possibly “One of the most important Powell speeches in three years.” The Fed Chair is due to speak at 11:25 am ET.
At press time, BTC traded at $83,197.
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com