Bitcoin (BTC) could be preparing for another major bull rally as a Golden Cross has recently appeared on the cryptocurrency’s Inter-exchange Flow Pulse (IFP). A crypto analyst who explained the significance of this occurrence notes that the timeline of this Golden Cross aligns almost perfectly with past bull rallies. Based on this historical trend, the analyst suggests that the next two to three weeks are important for Bitcoin’s next move.

Historical Golden Cross Pattern Signals Bitcoin Rally

Crypto market expert CW has shared a new Bitcoin forecast that, if realized, could completely invalidate the widespread bearish outlook for the cryptocurrency. In his post on X, the analyst shares a chart displaying BTC’s Inter-exchange Flow Pulse, a key on-chain indicator that tracks the net flow of Bitcoin between exchanges. 

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Usually, this indicator signals a bull market when it turns green and a bear market or correction when it turns red. This particular metric is often used to identify Bitcoin’s market position and has gained recognition for its strong track record of predicting major market turning points. 

During his analysis, CW noted a recurring Golden Cross pattern that has appeared twice in Bitcoin’s history on the Inter-exchange Flow Pulse chart. The first time this crossover occurred was in 2019, and then it was subsequently repeated in 2023. In both cases, the analyst noted that the Golden Cross had foreshadowed the start of a massive bull rally that lasted for months. 

However, the anticipated rally did not start immediately after the Golden Cross emerged. Instead, the broader market waited 30 to 40 days before the Bitcoin bull run began. Specifically, during the 2019 cycle, BTC consolidated for about 30 days after its Golden Cross before skyrocketing above $40,000 from a low price between $4,000 and $10,000. This bull rally had also extended into the 2021 bull market, where the cryptocurrency found a top of $69,000. 

Subsequently, in 2023, the chart shows that Bitcoin crashed below $20,000 following the 2022 bear market. Shortly after, the same Golden Cross appeared again on the Inter-exchange Flow Pulse. Just 40 days later, Bitcoin climbed above $100,000, extending its bull run into 2025. 

BTC Set For Explosive Run As New Golden Cross Emerges

Fast forward to today, CW noted in his analysis that the market cycle is currently 33 days past its most recent Golden Cross on the Inter-exchange Flow Pulse. This places the Bitcoin price right within the historical 30-40 day window. As a result, if the pattern continues to hold, Bitcoin could be on the verge of another sustained bull rally.  

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With only a few days left in this window, the analyst warns that the next two to three weeks are critical, urging investors and traders to watch BTC’s price closely. Based on past trends, a confirmed breakout during this period could likely be the start of a bull run.

Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin’s recent price action may be showing its first signs of relief as a closely watched indicator tied to US demand has just changed direction. The Coinbase Premium Gap has moved back into positive territory following nearly 10 weeks of persistent negative readings, a stretch that coincided with Bitcoin’s decline from around $95,000 to below $65,000 in February.

Coinbase Premium Turns Positive

The Coinbase Premium Gap, which measures the price difference between Bitcoin on Coinbase, the primary exchange for US-based institutional and retail investors, and its price on offshore platforms such as Binance, stayed in negative territory for the entirety of Bitcoin’s correction from $95,000 to the mid-$60,000 range. 

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Whenever the Coinbase Premium Gap is negative, it usually means that traders in the United States are selling Bitcoin at a faster pace than buyers are stepping in. A positive gap indicates the opposite dynamic of demand from US investors pushing Coinbase prices higher relative to the price in the global market. 

Notably, the metric entered a sustained negative zone on January 1 and held there through March 7, which is a period during which US spot demand was largely absent among crypto investors

At its worst, the gap reached -175 on February 2, coinciding with the most severe phase of Bitcoin’s price crash. At the time of writing, the Coinbase Premium Gap has now turned positive, registering a reading of +25.4 according to data shared by CryptoQuant analyst @IT_TECH_PL. The reversal of the Coinbase Premium Gap from a low of -175 to a positive reading is the first step in a meaningful change in market structure. 

Chart Image From X. Source: @IT_TECH_PL

The current reading, while still early and modest relative to the depth of the prior negative regime, is the first consistent sign that American spot demand may be returning to Bitcoin. It shows that those same participants may be slowly accumulating Bitcoin again compared to the rest of the world. However, the broader structure of Bitcoin’s price action still leaves room for further downside before the formation of a definitive bottom.

Bitcoin Could Still Drop To $50,000 Before Bottom

Although a few on-chain signals are slowly turning constructive, a few analysts are cautious before declaring the broader correction over. A technical analysis from crypto analyst Ted Pillows points to a longer-term technical indicator that has always coincided with Bitcoin bottoms.

According to his observation, the last two major bear-market lows occurred below the 300-week exponential moving average (300W EMA). In both cases, Bitcoin fell more than 15% beneath the indicator before the final bottom was established.

Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @TedPillows On X

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Bitcoin’s 300-week EMA is currently around $57,100. Applying the same pattern would imply a possible move to around $50,000, which would represent a decline of roughly 15% below the indicator. Nonetheless, this projection does not guarantee that Bitcoin will revisit that level before forming a bottom.

Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView