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- Cardano price has set up a bearish divergence on a weekly time frame, hinting at a crash.<\/strong><\/li>\n
- Transactional data shows ADA bulls are losing the fight to reclaim the $2.79 resistance level.<\/strong><\/li>\n
- Despite a new all-time high, the number of new addresses has remained the same over the past six months.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Cardano price has been on an explosive run<\/a>, but lately things have calmed down as it hovers below a crucial resistance level. While investors are waiting with bated breath for a new all-time high, the technicals and on-chain metrics indicate that a downswing seems likely for ADA.<\/p>\n
Cardano price prepares for a sub-$2 move<\/strong><\/h2>\n
Cardano price has been on a 1,844% upswing<\/a> since the beginning of 2021 and looks unbeatable considering its recent explosive growth. While that may be true, it is not the complete picture.\u00a0<\/p>\n
The weekly chart shows that ADA set up two swing points on May 10 and August 23. These higher highs might look bullish to the naked eye, but when viewed together with a momentum indicator such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) it shows an entirely different outlook.<\/p>\n
The RSI has established lower lows on May 10 and August 23 relative to the Cardano price action, creating what is known as a bearish divergence. This technical pattern typically results in a momentary downswing for ADA price.<\/p>\n
An example of the bearish divergence can be seen on the same weekly chart when comparing the swing points set up on February 22 and May 10 between the Cardano price and the RSI. What followed next was a 59% downswing that lasted a week.<\/p>\n
While it is uncertain if the anticipated sell-off will be that grim, one can expect a downswing to extinguish around $2.30. In a bearish case, it could head to the $1.77 support barrier.<\/p>\n
![\"ADA\/USDT](\"https:\/\/editorial.fxstreet.com\/miscelaneous\/ADAUSDT_2021-09-01_12-40-38-637660829227545061.png\")
<\/a><\/p>\nADA\/USDT 1-week chart<\/small><\/p>\n
Supporting this downswing is IntoTheBlock\u2019s Global In\/Out of the Money (GIOM) model, which shows ADA might push a massive cluster of investors into underwater territory.<\/p>\n
Adding credence to the pessimistic thesis is IntoTheBlock\u2019s Global In\/Out of the Money (GIOM) model, which shows ADA might push a massive cluster of investors into underwater territory.<\/p>\n
Roughly 240,000 addresses that purchased 6.3 billion ADA will see their holdings go \u201cOut of the Money\u201d if Cardano price produces a daily close below $2.79<\/a>.<\/p>\n
This could trigger investors to sell their tokens to break even, catalyzing a crash, as explained above.<\/p>\n
![\"ADA](\"https:\/\/editorial.fxstreet.com\/miscelaneous\/giom-637660829401544743.jpg\")
<\/a><\/p>\nADA GIOM chart<\/small><\/p>\n
Interestingly, Cardano price\u2019s new all-time high does not seem to be attracting new investors, which is seen in the daily new addresses metric. This on-chain index shows that the new users joining the network have decreased from 58,500 to 55,800 over the past six months.<\/p>\n
The 4.6% decline indicates that market participants are uninterested in ADA despite its exponential growth, or perhaps investors are not sold on the idea that the 2021 bull run has restarted.<\/p>\n
- Transactional data shows ADA bulls are losing the fight to reclaim the $2.79 resistance level.<\/strong><\/li>\n
![\"ADA](\"https:\/\/editorial.fxstreet.com\/miscelaneous\/daa-637660829614446809.jpg\")
<\/a><\/p>\n![\"ADA](\"https:\/\/editorial.fxstreet.com\/miscelaneous\/volumesocial-637660829784685300.png\")
<\/a><\/p>\n